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Amazon falls on fears of regulation in India and increased spending

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Amazon and Blue Origin founder Jeff Bezos provides the keynote address at the Air Force Association's Annual Air, Space & Cyber Conference in Oxen Hill, MD, on September 19, 2018.

Jim Watson | AFP | Getty Images

Amazon and Blue Origin founder Jeff Bezos provides the keynote address at the Air Force Association’s Annual Air, Space & Cyber Conference in Oxen Hill, MD, on September 19, 2018.

In notes following the report, analysts expressed concern about increased expenditures and a new law in India that will soon come into effect preventing foreign online retailers from selling products through affiliated companies. Amazon’s roadblocks in India have contributed to slowing international sales growth and may have influenced the company’s light guidance for the first quarter of 2019. Amazon expects revenue for Q1 between $56 billion and $60 billion, slightly below the $60.8 billion consensus estimated by FactSet.

“There is much uncertainty as to what the impact of the government rule change is going to have on the e-commerce sector there,” Olsavsky said on the call. “Our main issue and our main concern is trying to minimize the impact to our customers and sellers in India.”

Analysts largely seemed confident in the stock despite slightly lowering their price targets.

J.P. Morgan’s Doug Anmuth reduced his price target, writing, “Uncertainty in India, along w/a higher 4Q base, takes early 2019 revenue acceleration off the table. … But we still expect AMZN to grow revenue 18% FXN for the year and operating income by 30%. And we want AMZN to invest into long-term growth opportunities.”

Deutsche Bank’s Lloyd Walmsley, on the other hand, raised his price target and said, “We think Amazon is ultimately going to substantially expand its physical footprint and push further into healthcare and shipping/logistics, opening up its addressable markets further. Notwithstanding the volatility in the shares, we think valuations remain compelling..”

— Imagala.com’s Eugene Kim contributed to this report.

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